AI SIGNAL TERMINAL

Builder Opinions → Polymarket Trades
Updated: 2026-04-05 23:10:08 TW
Deployed
$75
P&L
$-0.81 (-1.1%)
Positions
3
Win Rate
0%
Signals
3
Signal Feed
Insider 2026-04-05T11:52
Claude 5 is going to be released very soon, I've seen early benchmarks and it's incredible
HALF YES Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Conv: 66
View tweet
Insider 2026-04-05T11:52
Claude 5 is going to be released very soon, I've seen early benchmarks and it's incredible
HALF YES Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? Conv: 66
View tweet
Insider 2026-04-05T11:52
Claude 5 is going to be released very soon, I've seen early benchmarks and it's incredible
HALF YES Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? Conv: 66
View tweet
Open Positions
Dir Contract Entry Current Size P&L Conv
YES Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? $0.1550 $0.1500 $25 $-0.81 (-3.2%) 66
YES Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? $0.2250 $0.2250 $25 $+0.00 (+0.0%) 66
YES Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? $0.5150 $0.5150 $25 $+0.00 (+0.0%) 66
Portfolio & Markets
Total Value
$74.19
Record
0W 3L
Signals Today
3
Contracts Tracked
187
Active AI/Tech Markets
Will Trump visit China by...?
Will Trump visit China by April 30? YES=1% Vol=$7,918,361
Will Trump visit China by May 31? YES=65% Vol=$1,058,204
Will Trump visit China by June 30? YES=77% Vol=$579,650
AI bubble burst by...?
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026? YES=16% Vol=$1,953,648
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? YES=12% Vol=$1,893,656
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? YES=41% Vol=$1,140,565
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? YES=12% Vol=$626,499
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? YES=14% Vol=$1,526,323
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? YES=18% Vol=$1,212,381
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? YES=2% Vol=$387,608
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch? YES=0% Vol=$198,475
MegaETH airdrop by...?
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? YES=47% Vol=$1,018,882
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? YES=5% Vol=$993,187
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? YES=2% Vol=$867,912
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? YES=66% Vol=$579,554
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? YES=22% Vol=$320,357
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
China x Japan military clash before 2027? YES=14% Vol=$570,916
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market cl YES=9% Vol=$487,786
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? YES=66% Vol=$273,886
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IP YES=4% Vol=$257,630
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? YES=14% Vol=$445,110
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026? YES=10% Vol=$417,538
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? YES=10% Vol=$53,743
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? YES=1% Vol=$41,509
OpenAI IPO by...?
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? YES=36% Vol=$409,890
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? YES=4% Vol=$223,909
Claude 5 released by…?
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? YES=15% Vol=$370,060
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? YES=22% Vol=$24,199
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? YES=52% Vol=$5,250
India strike on Pakistan by...?
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? YES=29% Vol=$269,502
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 20 YES=9% Vol=$245,398
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026 YES=6% Vol=$31,273
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 202 YES=0% Vol=$30,748
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? YES=22% Vol=$244,171
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close o YES=1% Vol=$233,095
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on YES=0% Vol=$191,659
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? YES=97% Vol=$162,656
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? YES=7% Vol=$228,353
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? YES=14% Vol=$24,933
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? YES=14% Vol=$224,793
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? YES=1% Vol=$204,329
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? YES=1% Vol=$196,607
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? YES=3% Vol=$174,882
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? YES=26% Vol=$189,648
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? YES=9% Vol=$102,647
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 YES=16% Vol=$102,482
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? YES=17% Vol=$92,580
GPT-6 released by…?
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? YES=32% Vol=$82,536
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? YES=83% Vol=$30,680
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? YES=71% Vol=$1,594
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? YES=12% Vol=$78,584
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? YES=34% Vol=$78,319
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? YES=43% Vol=$72,625
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? YES=8% Vol=$72,200
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? YES=6% Vol=$65,388
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? YES=17% Vol=$4,560
Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30? YES=95% Vol=$64,567
Will USD.AI launch a token by December 31, 2026? YES=98% Vol=$221
US x Russia military clash by...?
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? YES=3% Vol=$55,584
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? YES=7% Vol=$7,064
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? YES=24% Vol=$50,238
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? YES=92% Vol=$49,435
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? YES=48% Vol=$28,587
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? YES=82% Vol=$9,157
Russian strike on Poland by...?
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? YES=5% Vol=$40,515
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? YES=25% Vol=$37,869
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? YES=20% Vol=$31,816
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? YES=9% Vol=$26,275
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? YES=20% Vol=$27,524
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31 YES=44% Vol=$25,879
Grok 5 released by...?
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? YES=15% Vol=$22,076
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? YES=6% Vol=$21,330
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? YES=21% Vol=$10,735
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Anthropic acquired before 2027? YES=10% Vol=$9,948
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? YES=10% Vol=$9,594
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? YES=82% Vol=$3,829
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? YES=6% Vol=$3,675
New Half-Life game by...?
New Half-Life game by June 30? YES=30% Vol=$3,587
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? YES=8% Vol=$3,161
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard ch YES=58% Vol=$2,840
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? YES=10% Vol=$2,110
Israel military action against Damascus by...?
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? YES=35% Vol=$1,879